Unilateral Declaration of South Sudan Independence Has Tough Consequences But….
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- Created on Tuesday, 11 August 2009 18:53
- Written by Dr. James Okuk
By: Dr. James Okuk
This has been my stance and it will always remain my ground without any compromise or ambiguity. If the end justifies the means then be it. Yes to the fair Independence of South Sudan !!! No to the unjust unity!!!
How I wait passionately to see that “Greatest Day In My Life”: Independence , Freedom and Dignity to the People of My Very Motherland!!! Thanks a lot to Mr. Pagan Amum for coming up openly to join the die-hard separatists and abandon his declared vote for unity of the fragile Sudan . But I hope he is sincere with the new declaration of change of heart. I hope it is not out of mere frustration and fear of lost of 2010 elections!!! I hope it is not an image-saving tactic for the criticized SPLM’s undeliverable leadership!!! I hope it is not a fuel for starting a new war and creating unavoidable enemy and scape-goating for SPLM leadership failures!!! Mr. Pagan remains my brother even when he deviates at times from the interest of the South in order to please some Northerners and enjoy obsession from New Sudan Vision’s Opium.
Please SPLM-SG; be assured that you may only lose the elections to the SPLM-DC and not to the NCP. This will mean indirectly a win to the historical SPLM/A where you are unforgettable member. The SPLM-DC emerged to save the SPLM-led government in the South from the collapse out of quadruple vices (of tribalism, corruption, insecurity and incompetence) so that the desire of the people could be given a real chance to become true. So take the pill slowly and grasp the wisdom behind Hon. Kuol Manyang Juuk when he told the SPLM supporters in the USA that they should not get panic or be angry with the emergence of the SPLM-DC because it is still their twin brother, and that it is better for the disappointed SPLM members to join the SPLM-DC than the NCP or other political parties that are anti-CPA implementation.
No doubt, we will survive and live despite the interpretation of the NCP of the Referendum for our Self-determination to be making Separation of South Sudan unattractive and too difficult to get. Don’t worry, even if they make it difficult to achieve, we will work hard to make it attractive despites the mounting obstacles. We will take it by our own laborious hands and active brains because it is our fundamental right to human dignity!!!
However, since we have tried the 'War Tactics' in the past to achieve the goal of independence of South Sudan but failed to do it promptly by military victory and liberation (as we would have wished) due to sabotage of the International Community and the Arab World, and since we have accepted to try a peaceful democratic means (Referendum) as stipulated in the CPA document, I think there is no need for hurry and rush for the Unilateral Declaration of Independence (UDI) now since this will come automatically, with patience. Why?
First of all, we have to become totally sure that the CPA has become useless and obsolete before we take the ‘war-option’ for UDI. But who will hit the last nail on the CPA coffin so that it becomes useless to value? The SPLM or the NCP? And by what convincing justification? The only justifiable justification that will make us and our gallant army (the SPLA) support the UDI is when the NCP totally renege and block the hard-earned right of Self-determination for Southerners at its ‘right time.’ And that ‘right time’ starts with process and mechanism like the Referendum Bill, which need to be enacted into Law one year before the polling dates in 2011.
Remember that when the Sudanese MPs declared unilaterally the Independence of the Sudan inside the Parliament in Omdurman prior to 1956, the Condominium Rulers (British and Egyptian) were already packing their things from the Sudan and had no time and preparation for war. They were already warming up for Multilateral/Bilateral Declaration of Independence (M/BDI). But the case with the NIF-controlled government is totally different now because they have already learned to enjoy South Sudan oil and will resist any weaning attempt to take their mouths out of the milk-breast. They will fight back because they are not willing to pack their things and leave the South alone to determine and rule its right destiny!
The win or loss after the polling results should be by simple majority of the legally registered Southerners for the practice of the plebiscite as it has been practice worldwide. Any negotiations beyond this simple-majority should be made very difficult by the SPLM and all the other concerned political parties and legislators who believe in the value of CPA.
Secondly, we should make sure that we have done a good homework, and have lobbied extensively for International and Regional Communities for the support of the UDI. Has this been done? When, Where and by Who? What is the feedback and is it on our interest or on the opponent interest? It should never be forgotten that it was the International Community, the Regional Community and the Arab World who have been failing the desire for South Sudan Independence since 1955. Thus, we should learn to fear ropes in the dark after we have been bitten by such snakes in the past. We should not take them for granted!
Thirdly, we should make sure that many SPLA ranks and files may not desert the cause if the war erupted as the result of the hurried and pre-time UDI. The UDI implies so many ‘cuts-and-leave’, like use of Old Sudan Currency, Passports, Commercial Commodities, and other privileges enjoyed today by virtue of being one country. Already a good number of the SPLA personnel have become money-oriented, money-lovers, and luxury-enjoyers. Hence it shall be difficult for them to fight gallantly without cash-pay as it used to be the case in the past. They may become cowards as they see death a head that will make them leave behind the wealth and properties they have accumulated in the country or abroad. They may run to where their properties and happy families are, leaving the poor and property-less ones behind under the smokes of bullets and missiles from the sky. Those of ‘Dr.’ Salva Kiir, Dr. Riek Machar, Mr. Wani Igga, Mr. Pagan Amum and other top SPLM/SPLA leaders shall be sending commands and directives from safer places (e.g., well-conditioned hotels abroad) to their Military Units.
Once these poor soldiers realized that they have been left alone in the hot and deadly defensive war front lines, they may also opt to desert and run away to become internally displaced or refugees in secure places inside the Sudan and in the neighboring countries. They shall be received by UNHCR and emergency NGOs in those places. While this is happening, the UN Security Council shall be wasting time and dragging its feet to come up with a tough Resolution to put peace-keeping forces between the South and North. Also Obama may hesitate to send USA Marines to the South because he shall break his promise of pleasing the Arab World. So the Southerners would have to sweat, bleed, wield and die for their own cause without any quick help from outside. The war business companies and agents shall be very happy.
Nonetheless, other Southerners shall not fold their hands and allow the unionists to invade their beloved Motherland and burry the aspirations of the people for Secession and Independence . The SPLM-DC shall also be forced to be there on the defense of the beloved South (if invaded by Northerners). Majority of Southerners shall turn up courageously to defend their unbeatable cause if pushed on the wall by untimely UDI and by invasive force from government in Khartoum . I hate war and killings of human beings but if pushed hard against my will, I will not hesitate to step in front and fight for my right.
Please God we know you are there and will be with us always! We also know that our ancestors and living-dead and blood of heroes and martyrs of freedom will be on our door steps and deep inside our courageous hearts to save us from the devils of oppressions and enemies of human freedom! We shall not perish but we shall thrive with thrilling!
Dr. James Okuk is a Die-hard Democratic Separatist. He has been recently awarded with PhD qualification in the University of Nairobi . This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
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12-08-2009 04:22:35 |Unregistered| Lal
Dr. James Okuk! thank you brother for being supportive for the name of our motherland! We hope other will under your words as well. God bless!
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12-08-2009 05:00:46 |Unregistered| bedepiny
Comprehensive Peace Agreement was a result of 150 years of sacrifices of our people enduring aggression of the North from the time of Slaves raids of infamous Baggara Arabs to the days of Mahdiya tyranny up to the slaughter of thousands of innocents in Ed Dein and Jableen so that at last, at last we the South Sudanese can sit across the table with the government of the day in Khartoum and negotiate. This by itself is a significant achievement for there are not many people in the world who can force their government.
I fail to see the merit to unilaterally declare the independence if the government is asking 75% for referendum result in order for South to become independent I would say make it 85%, I hate this apologetic position where SPLM had put itself in such as pathetic and baloney idea called attractive unity.
As for the debt South Sudan will never be liable to any money owing to an Arab or Islamic country period end of the story...
We still have a stake on the remaining Old Sudan given the large number of people with South Sudan roots it is through our engagement with the government to grantee their right. Not only that but what would become of our allies in Nuba mountains and Southern Blue Nile, who were with us shoulder to shoulder in our struggle it is indecent to walk away without any legal framework for their citizens and soldiers status.
In any event, the conflict is coming between South and North, but I think we should be diligent as we chart our course and when it happens it has to be in our own choosing or in self defence.
Over seeing populations affairs is not an arbitrary exercise and definitely not a lottery where you gamble by tossing a dice to choose what I am going to complain about next.
North Sudan is uniting it is time for the South to unite immediately...
Yrs, peter bedepiny
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12-08-2009 07:25:54 |Unregistered| William Okuch
The SPLM and the GOSS are placed in the cage without exit fear of two tanible factors. First is internal and external pressures for democratic transformation as stipulated in the CPA. This is a very disturbing matter to the SPLM and GOSS who are not ready to share a cake they have in Juba. Off course democracy will remove them from their illegal posts and new faces who will bring future to South will emegre into governmental institutions. So SPLM and GOSS prepare to forget its comardes from the marginalized areas by unilateral decralartion of the Southern independence through parliament to avoid approaching democratic change.
Second issue that troubles the SPLM and GOSS is lifting sanction on Khartoum. Clearing, SPLM and GOSS will loose their creditibility from international community by welcoming NCP into world community. Before off course they were happy to be welcome alone so that they could cheat and lies in the absence of other Sudanese politicians. What is so idiot to SPLM is travelling to US and used the same old language used during the war. SPLM and NCP were both exempted by the CPA and become partners to work hand in hand to implement the CPA. Also telling the great nation as US do this and do not do that is laughing to ourselves especially when it is an incompetent issues like failures to draw a border, national census and lack of democracy in North. Let me ask the people from the marginalzed areas and the southern Sudanese and Darfurians these question. SPLM had killed many Southerners who were separatists and renamed SSIM with the SPLM for the New Sudan.
But for what those people were killed if the very general secretary Pgan Amum and the president of SPLM/A and GOSS Salva Kiir are willing to terminate the course for New Sudan? What is the compensation for millions who lost their lives from the marginalized areas and Dr. John Garng is SPLM become SSIM?
Who will protect our comardes from the marginalized areas and oppositions in north being left in vulnerability before the NCP? Can we truth the current leaders of the SPLM and the GOSS since they are willing to abolish the New Sudan vision in order to preserve their position fear of democratic transformation? How could current leaders of the SPLM and the GOSS help the Darfurians since they are going to exclude themselves in Juba to continue corruption there?
It is our moral and honorable duties to change our wrong leaders for sake for the NEW SUDAN and to honor our martyers and heroes who denied their lives for democratic Sudan not for sake of Pagan Amum and Slava Kiir. They must not be allow to represent us wrongly before the world communities. Any wrong leader must be force to terminate his/her public leadership and sit at home for other good leaders to emancipate the nations from grievances.
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13-08-2009 02:08:45 |Unregistered| Lal
Same politic and its lies are always being brought to agrument by those who think that Southern Sudan independent's leadership will bring turmoil in North Sudan among NCP and Democratic Change separatists and indeed it will and that is what we want! Stick to the truth Pedpiny and Okuch! You don't know what is behind this independent! I say make it 0.0000000001% for independent! So you think SPLA/M and all armies and soldiers in Southern Sudan are sleeping? Don't play us dirt politic of Arab again! We know you are speaking this way because it's were your mouth is! Check me!
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13-08-2009 03:56:51 |Unregistered| William Okuch
Lal be subjective please rather than saying we do not know what is behind independence.
To me, the new Sudan during liberation period meant to SPLM cheating the Nubians, Funjs, Bejas and northern oppositions.While, independence means to SPLM leaders to convince the Southerners that SPLM fight now for separation because GOSS is run by SPLM party.
But do not forget that the majority of the Southerners will not be cheat and be kill in millions for second time. They know SPLM had in the past betrayed the Southerner course for sake of the New Sudan and the people from the marginalized areas knew that they had empowered the SPLM for sake of the New Sudan. So the SPLM calls in the past for New Sudan and current call for seaparation of the South contradict themselves. So dispositioning leaders must quit the public duty and give chance to those leaders who honor their promises.
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14-08-2009 05:48:48 |Unregistered| Mkogand Wak
Dear Dr.Okuk we want independence, not in away Mr.Pagan talking about,he was betrayed Southerners,whom were fought for Southern Sudan indepedent,what is new now?.where is the New Sudan?.Uniletaral decalaration of South Sudan in the Parilement,is a type of cheating, we want independence through elections. Democratic chang is on the way to throw away all the bad leaders in the ocean,we do not want uniletaral decalaraion, because is golng to give them chance to survive fo a while.
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16-08-2009 07:42:45 |Unregistered| Lal
Dear William Okuch! We believe Nubians, and those of Blue Nile and Abyei have already know the fate of Khartoum government! To my understanding, I think you know that there are SSAF/SPLA in the area of those three states. If the independent is declared today or tomorrow, I think nuba mts. abyei, and blue nile are going to join Southern Sudan and that is the truth! But if they choose to join North Sudan, I believe they have already know how the Khartoum government uses people! Do they want to be slaves in the hand of Arab or slave for their children and women? will they want to be with Khartoum government one more time again? I think not! In your case my friend, William, you have rights to say SPLM/A has betrayed Southern Sudaneses and used others to gain independent, but what do you always do when there is no true peace between you and your brother? Don't split and apart yourselves to give peace a chance? what I know so far is that separation will give us genuine peace in Southern Sudan and to Sudan as whole! To prevent another civil war, separation is the only solution!
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16-08-2009 07:45:59 |Unregistered| Lal
I mean: "....don't you split apart and give peace a chance? That is what independent of Southern Sudan all about!
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17-08-2009 13:14:36 |Unregistered| Mkogand Wak
Mr.Lal it is your understanding. Violence every where in the Southern Sudan, I think Nubians and Funj they are not going to be cheating again by southerners,there are other options for the Blue Nile and the Southern Kordofan,just keep it secret, future of the south sudan for Funj and Nubians is not known,where are tribes conflics could lead the south to?.[HELL] in front of you,talking about Southern Sudan independentis like dreaming,Yes,we want Southern Sudan to be independent State,but not like the way we are talking now.Mr Lal,you said that let us give peace a chance,chance for what? for looting public money or chanc for more killing citizens?.Government of Southern Sudan failed to protect our citizens in any corners of the South,if SPLM declare independence today,i thnk ,the world can accept it as a legal right for the South to be an independence state ,but killing will not leave us anywhere,so we could not talk about independence while, there are conflics amoung tribes,so let us give chance first to reconciliation
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Actually when it comes to the declaration of the independent of Southern Sudan, nobody have a clue to when or will we reach 2011 before the our leaders of Southern Sudaneses give an order to Southern Sudan army force, soldiers, ... and inform the people of Southern Sudan as whole that this is the day! All are ready for independent! See! as we always tell you people that there are only simple things that keep us apart but we forgetting the big things that can unite us, the people of Southern Sudan! To the independent Southern Sudan, ... the future is near my friend!